CBSE Class 12 Mathematics sample paper 2026-27: question 35
From the official CBSE sample question paper for 2026-27, section D, question 35, for 5 marks. Try it first; the hints and our step-by-step solution are below.
Q35 · 5 marks · Long answerCompetency-basedProbability
A fitness app syncs with four types of smartwatches: Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta. 45% of the users use Alpha, 30% use Beta, 15% use Gamma and 10% use Delta.
Due to device errors, the probabilities of getting a false heart-rate alert from the Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta smartwatches are respectively 0.01, 0.02, 0.05, and 0.01.
Based on the given information, answer the following questions:
- (i)0 marks
Find the probability that a randomly selected user gets a false alert.
- (ii)0 marks
If a false alert occurs, what is the probability that it came from a Beta smartwatch?
Source: official sample paper from cbseacademic.nic.in (PDF). See it in the full Sample paper 2026-27.
Hints
Open one hint at a time and try again before the next.
Hint 1
Let to be the events of using each watch type. These form a partition of the sample space.
Hint 2
For (i), add over all four brands.
Hint 3
For (ii), divide the Beta term by the total you found in (i).
Step-by-step solution
Each step shows the marks it earns, as an examiner would award them. Checked by an independent re-solve from the question paper.
- 1 mark
Define the events: are 'the user uses Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta' respectively, and is 'the user gets a false alert'. The events form a partition of the sample space, with .
- 1 mark
The conditional probabilities of a false alert are .
- 1½ marks
(i) By the theorem of total probability,
. - 1½ marks
(ii) By Bayes' theorem, .
Answer: (i) 0.019; (ii)
Where the marks are
- Defines events and writes the prior probabilities (1 mark)
- Writes the conditional probabilities of a false alert (1 mark)
- Applies total probability to get (1½ marks)
- Applies Bayes' theorem to get (1½ marks)
Revise the chapter
- Chapter: Probability (notes, formulas, where marks are lost and every past question)
- Topic: Bayes' Theorem
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